The Great Wall Fund with "Moderately Loose" Monetary Policy: It is expected to open up space for the downward trend of bond interest rates. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9. The meeting pointed out that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. The Great Wall Fund said that based on the "moderate easing" of monetary policy next year, the downside of bond interest rates is expected to be further opened, optimistic about the bond market in the coming year; At the same time, with the coming of the New Year's market, the bond interest rate may further decline in the context of loose liquidity and the entry of insurance funds.Hua Fu Securities Interpretation of the Politburo Meeting in December: More incremental policies can be expected in the future. The Hua Fu Securities Research Report pointed out that the Politburo Meeting in December decided to implement more active and promising macro policies in economic work next year, which released major signals to the market, including: First, it proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy, which was also proposed in response to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. Second, it is proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, which is more positive than the previous statement. Moreover, from the historical experience, the "moderately loose" monetary policy implemented in China after the last financial crisis in 2009-2010 has significantly enhanced its support for economic growth. This change in expression will send a clearer and clearer policy signal to the market. Third, it is proposed for the first time to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and more incremental policies can be expected in the future. Fourth, after the policy adjustment, the expansion of domestic demand will be put in the first place, which highlights the importance and policy determination of expanding domestic demand next year. The follow-up consumption promotion policy may exert its efforts in many aspects, such as continuously promoting the trade-in of consumer goods, introducing incremental measures related to service consumption, and improving the support and protection of low-and middle-income people. Fifth, it is clearly proposed to stabilize the property market stock market, which will help to continuously consolidate the momentum of stabilization and recovery of the real estate market and give full play to the important functions of the capital market.Reuters survey: 27 of 31 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% in December; Four people think that they will cut interest rates by 50 basis points; Fifteen of the 28 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut the policy interest rate to 0.25% or lower by the end of 2025; 13 people think it will drop to 0.50% or higher.
COMEX silver rose by 3.00% in the day and is now quoted at $32.54 per ounce.Jingxing Paper: The second phase of Malay project is expected to start in the first quarter of 2025. Jingxing Paper said in an institutional survey on December 9 that the capacity utilization rate of the company's packaging paper is relatively high, except for necessary maintenance and downtime, it is basically in the state of full-load operation, and the annual output this year is about 1.5 million tons. On the issue of the company's capital expenditure plan in the later period, Jingxing Paper said that the company's largest capital expenditure plan at present is the Malay Phase II project, which is expected to be officially launched in the first quarter of next year, with an estimated construction period of two years.New york cocoa futures on the Intercontinental Exchange jumped more than 4% to $10,271 a ton.
According to sources, Greece will repay the first batch of rescue loans of 7.9 billion euros in advance on December 13th.Armed representatives of the Syrian opposition: I hope to establish cooperative relations with the international community including Russia. Ahmed Toma, head of the armed delegation of the Syrian opposition in Astana talks on Syria, told the Russian media on the 9 th that the Syrian opposition is committed to establishing an independent democratic country in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254 and hopes to establish cooperative relations based on mutual respect with all parties including Russia. Sputnik news agency & radio reported on the same day that Toma said in an interview with the satellite news agency that the Syrian opposition will devote itself to maintaining the operation of state institutions, ensuring security and improving people's livelihood in the future. "We hope to build a civilized, independent and democratic country according to UN Security Council Resolution 2254." Toma said that the Syrian opposition "hopes to achieve stability and has no intention of punishing anyone." (CCTV News)New york cocoa futures on the Intercontinental Exchange jumped more than 4% to $10,271 a ton.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13